Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#167
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#167
Pace69.3#190
Improvement+1.2#133

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#210
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks+0.7#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#305
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement+0.4#166

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#141
First Shot+0.5#161
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#100
Layups/Dunks+3.8#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#281
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement+0.8#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 294   @ Loyola Maryland W 86-71 70%     1 - 0 +9.1 +0.6 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2015 137   @ Ohio L 67-75 30%     1 - 1 -3.2 -10.0 +7.2
  Nov 21, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee L 66-69 50%     1 - 2 -3.6 -4.9 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2015 258   @ Kennesaw St. W 56-49 60%     2 - 2 +3.8 -9.2 +14.2
  Dec 05, 2015 283   Stetson W 74-54 83%     3 - 2 +9.1 -7.2 +16.4
  Dec 12, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 64-52 91%     4 - 2 -3.3 -12.5 +9.3
  Dec 14, 2015 283   @ Stetson W 93-90 2OT 67%     5 - 2 -2.0 +2.0 -4.4
  Dec 17, 2015 279   Lipscomb W 89-86 83%     6 - 2 -7.5 +3.0 -10.7
  Dec 19, 2015 313   Alcorn St. W 81-76 88%     7 - 2 -8.1 +2.7 -10.8
  Dec 22, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. L 55-66 27%     7 - 3 -5.1 -7.8 +1.7
  Dec 29, 2015 91   @ Tennessee L 69-74 19%     7 - 4 +3.9 +1.2 +2.6
  Jan 02, 2016 338   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 72-66 83%     8 - 4 1 - 0 -4.7 -6.6 +1.6
  Jan 06, 2016 264   @ Eastern Illinois W 66-61 61%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +1.5 -0.1 +2.3
  Jan 09, 2016 309   SIU Edwardsville W 63-60 87%     10 - 4 3 - 0 -9.9 -11.7 +2.0
  Jan 14, 2016 228   Austin Peay W 66-52 73%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +7.2 -11.3 +18.7
  Jan 16, 2016 174   Murray St. W 73-71 62%     12 - 4 5 - 0 -1.6 +0.1 -1.6
  Jan 24, 2016 138   @ Belmont L 95-103 30%     12 - 5 5 - 1 -3.2 +3.7 -5.6
  Jan 28, 2016 197   @ Tennessee Tech L 79-81 45%     12 - 6 5 - 2 -1.2 -3.9 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2016 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 78-53 70%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +19.2 +5.4 +14.7
  Feb 04, 2016 201   Eastern Kentucky L 81-97 69%     13 - 7 6 - 3 -21.5 -4.5 -15.5
  Feb 06, 2016 144   Morehead St. W 77-76 54%     14 - 7 7 - 3 -0.6 +3.1 -3.7
  Feb 10, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech W 85-55 67%     15 - 7 8 - 3 +24.9 +9.0 +17.0
  Feb 13, 2016 201   @ Eastern Kentucky W 79-78 47%     16 - 7 9 - 3 +1.3 -1.2 +2.4
  Feb 18, 2016 144   @ Morehead St. L 61-66 32%     16 - 8 9 - 4 -0.8 -4.8 +3.7
  Feb 20, 2016 293   Jacksonville St. W 61-46 85%     17 - 8 10 - 4 +3.3 -11.5 +16.3
  Feb 25, 2016 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 56-72 50%     17 - 9 10 - 5 -16.6 -12.2 -6.3
  Feb 28, 2016 138   Belmont W 87-72 52%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +14.0 +4.0 +9.2
  Mar 03, 2016 228   Austin Peay L 72-74 63%     18 - 10 -5.9 -7.0 +1.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%